Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Klimowicz M.
26'
Nanni R.
31'
Iturbe J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cerro Porteno
22%
Draws
18%
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than Sportivo Ameliano.
  • Win probability leans Cerro Porteno's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Sportivo Ameliano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
May 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 68 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Sportivo Ameliano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Cerro Porteno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Sportivo Ameliano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115