Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Catashunga J. In: Paiva F.
Out: Catashunga J.
46'
Sub
Regalado I. In: Ramos J.
Out: Regalado I.
46'
Sub
Mesias Silva P. C. In: Grandez G.
Out: Mesias Silva P. C.

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cesar Vallejo
20%
Draws
40%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cesar Vallejo haven't matched U. San Martin's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 14%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo U. San Martin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
2:0
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
2:0
Sep 23, 2021 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Arteaga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 31 / 100
U. San Martin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. San Martin has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cesar Vallejo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cesar Vallejo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS U. San Martin
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesar Vallejo

(Home)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 15 8 5 2 16:5 29
2 Carlos Mannucci 15 8 3 4 19:12 27
3 Llacuabamba 15 7 4 4 20:10 25
4 Pirata 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 U. San Martin 14 5 3 6 20:17 18
6 ADA Jaen 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Cesar Vallejo 14 4 4 6 11:13 16
8 AD Cantolao 15 2 5 8 16:30 11
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 16 8 5 3 22:13 29
2 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 4 5 22:13 25
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 5 6 5 18:18 21
6 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
7 Ayacucho 16 5 4 7 19:21 19
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)