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Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cesar Vallejo play U. San Martin in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cesar Vallejo averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. U. San Martin averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Cesar Vallejo won 2, U. San Martin won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Cesar Vallejo and 1.38 for U. San Martin. This points to a Cesar Vallejo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cesar Vallejo
27%
Draws
35%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesar Vallejo picked up more points recently compared to U. San Martin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 17%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo U. San Martin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
2:0
Sep 23, 2021 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1
Oct 21, 2020 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs U. San Martin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Arteaga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 38 / 100
U. San Martin 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo U. San Martin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cesar Vallejo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cesar Vallejo attacking → ← attacking U. San Martin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesar Vallejo scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

U. San Martin let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Cesar Vallejo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

U. San Martin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 38
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ayacucho00000:00
2Alianza Huanuco00000:00
3Sport Huancayo 200000:00
4Binacional00000:00
5Tacna Heroica00000:00
6Santos FC00000:00
7Comerciantes FC00000:00
8Estudiantil CNI00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126