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Cesar Vallejo vs Willy Serrato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018 Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo
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AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2018 game between Cesar Vallejo and Willy Serrato finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesar Vallejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cesar Vallejo
15%
Draws
0%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Willy Serrato haven't matched Cesar Vallejo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cesar Vallejo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cesar Vallejo here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 68%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Willy Serrato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.16 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Cesar Vallejo
0:3
Jul 8, 2018 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Willy Serrato
2:0
Oct 8, 2017 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Cesar Vallejo
0:5
Jun 17, 2017 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Willy Serrato
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 95 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Willy Serrato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesar Vallejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willy Serrato has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Willy Serrato has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cesar Vallejo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesar Vallejo

(Home)
07 Oct
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 7

Willy Serrato

(Away)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesar Vallejo 28 19 5 4 55:19 62
2 Carlos Mannucci 28 16 7 5 66:30 55
3 Cienciano 28 17 4 7 63:30 55
4 Union Huaral 28 14 6 8 58:39 48
5 Hualgayoc 28 13 9 6 49:38 48
6 Juan Aurich 28 14 5 9 51:27 47
7 Alianza Atl. 28 14 5 9 48:37 47
8 Atletico Grau 28 12 6 10 58:42 42
9 Deportivo Coopsol 28 9 10 9 46:32 37
10 Los Chankas 28 11 4 13 38:36 37
11 Los Caimanes 28 7 6 15 38:57 27
12 Sport Victoria 28 6 7 15 34:54 25
13 Sport Loreto 28 6 6 16 38:68 24
14 Alfredo Salinas 28 5 6 17 25:66 21
15 Willy Serrato 28 2 4 22 23:115 10
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2018 (Play Offs)