Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesena U20 vs Inter U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kukulis R.
33'
Della Mora T.
34' Event
Tosku F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Cesena U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cesena U20
15%
Draws
37%
Inter U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesena U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesena U20 have managed 1.68 goals a game lately — Inter U20 are scoring more at 2.03.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Cesena U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Cesena U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Inter U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena U20 Inter U20
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 16 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Inter U20
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Inter U20
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Primavera 1
Inter U20 vs Cesena U20
3:3
May 16, 2025 Primavera 1
Cesena U20 vs Inter U20
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 1
Inter U20 vs Cesena U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poletti T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Inter U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kukulis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena U20 30 / 100
Inter U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena U20 Inter U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cesena U20 scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Cesena U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesena U20 VS Inter U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena U20

(Home)
25 May
Parma U20
2 : 1
Cesena U20
22 May
Cesena U20
2 : 1
Inter U20
15 May
Lazio U20
1 : 2
Cesena U20
09 May
Cesena U20
0 : 1
Juventus U20
02 May
Genoa U20
3 : 5
Cesena U20
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Inter U20

(Away)
22 May
Cesena U20
2 : 1
Inter U20
15 May
Genoa U20
1 : 2
Inter U20
08 May
Inter U20
4 : 2
Verona U20
02 May
Inter U20
1 : 2
Bologna U20
25 Apr
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Inter U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fiorentina U20 -
TBD -
AS Roma U20 1
Bologna U20 2
Parma U20 -
TBD -
Cesena U20 2
Inter U20 1
Semi-finals
Fiorentina U20 2
Bologna U20 0
Parma U20 2
Cesena U20 1
Final
Fiorentina U20 2
Parma U20 1