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Cesena vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Druiventak X.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cesena and Carpi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cesena
35%
Draws
14%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesena's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Carpi have produced (1.07).
  • Model gives Cesena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cesena Clean Sheet 16%
Carpi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Carpi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Cesena vs Carpi
1:0
Feb 22, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Carpi
3:0
Oct 24, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Cesena
2:0
Jan 22, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Cesena vs Carpi
0:1
Aug 25, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Cesena
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Druiventak X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 84 / 100
Carpi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carpi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Cesena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cesena found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Carpi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
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Carpi

(Away)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
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