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Cesena vs Monza

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Frabotta G.
25' Event
Azzi P.
Assist: Pessina M.
33'
Ciofi A.

AI Match Summary

Monza in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cesena
20%
Draws
40%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monza lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • Cesena are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cesena Clean Sheet 17%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Monza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Monza
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Monza vs Cesena
1:0
Apr 11, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Monza vs Cesena
2:0
Nov 16, 2008 Lega Pro C1/A
Cesena vs Monza
3:0
Jan 13, 2002 Lega Pro C1/A
Cesena vs Monza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Frabotta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Monza Compare

Top Goalscorer Azzi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cutrone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 36 / 100
Monza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cesena scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cesena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Monza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Monza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
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Monza

(Away)
14 Aug
Monza
3 : 0
Avellino
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2
Monza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)