Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesena vs Pisa

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Sun, Aug 17, 2025
0 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Zaro G.
44'
Marin M.
63'
Tramoni M.

AI Match Summary

Pisa in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cesena
20%
Draws
40%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pisa haven't matched Cesena's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cesena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pisa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cesena Clean Sheet 22%
Pisa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Pisa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia
Cesena vs Pisa
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Pisa
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Pisa vs Cesena
3:1
Sep 25, 2024 Coppa Italia
Pisa vs Cesena
0:1
Apr 8, 2017 Serie B
Pisa vs Cesena
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 32 / 100
Pisa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Cesena's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cesena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Pisa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

Pisa

(Away)
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2