Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs CSM Alexandria

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cetatea Turnu Magurele in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cetatea Turnu Magurele.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
30%
Draws
34%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cetatea Turnu Magurele lately — more wins on the board than CSM Alexandria.
  • Win probability leans Cetatea Turnu Magurele's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cetatea Turnu Magurele Clean Sheet 17%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cetatea Turnu Magurele CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs CSM Alexandria
2:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs CSM Alexandria
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
3:0
Dec 3, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs CSM Alexandria
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cetatea Turnu Magurele 36 / 100
CSM Alexandria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cetatea Turnu Magurele CSM Alexandria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cetatea Turnu Magurele found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

CSM Alexandria has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cetatea Turnu Magurele has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cetatea Turnu Magurele VS CSM Alexandria
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CS U Craiova 220154137:1649
2Cetatea Turnu Magurele20127141:1943
3Academica Bals20125335:1841
4LPS HD Clinceni20123544:1939
5CSM Alexandria20106435:1936
6Curtisoara2084828:3128
7Progresul Spartac20821033:3326
8SCM Dunarea Giurgiu20521319:3817
9Adunatii-Copaceni20411516:3613
10CSO Filiasi20321515:4211
11Nanov20221613:458
12FC U Craiova00000:0-106