Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Sun, May 24, 2026
1 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Larrosa T.
45' Event
Garcia A.
77' Event
Quer I.

AI Match Summary

L Hospitalet in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CF Badalona
30%
Draws
34%
L Hospitalet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: L Hospitalet at 1.88 per game, CF Badalona at 0.88.
  • Win probability leans CF Badalona's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Badalona, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 14%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona L Hospitalet
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
1:3
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:2
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrosa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Quer I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 35 / 100
L Hospitalet 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona L Hospitalet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Badalona's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

L Hospitalet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: CF Badalona remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS L Hospitalet
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
31 May
Cornella
4 : 1
CF Badalona
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6

L Hospitalet

(Away)
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
17 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 2
CF Badalona
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
03 May
CF Badalona
3 : 2
L Hospitalet
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CF Badalona3
L Hospitalet3
Cornella2
CF Vilanova2
Final
CF Badalona4
Cornella4