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CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5
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AI Match Summary

CF Badalona play L Hospitalet in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, CF Badalona averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. L Hospitalet averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, CF Badalona won 3, L Hospitalet won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for CF Badalona and 1.63 for L Hospitalet. This points to a CF Badalona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CF Badalona
24%
Draws
34%
L Hospitalet
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Badalona picked up more points recently compared to L Hospitalet.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 14%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona L Hospitalet
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
1:3
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:2
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs CF Badalona
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs L Hospitalet
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Penalver J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Juwara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pelegrin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 41 / 100
L Hospitalet 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona L Hospitalet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CF Badalona or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CF Badalona attacking → ← attacking L Hospitalet

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Badalona scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

L Hospitalet let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

CF Badalona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

L Hospitalet lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625