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C.F. Benfica vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group G 2013/2014 game between C.F. Benfica and Operario finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
C.F. Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: C.F. Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Operario come out ahead of C.F. Benfica on wins alone.
  • Model gives C.F. Benfica a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Operario have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
C.F. Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Operario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C.F. Benfica Operario
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Operario
2:4
Mar 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Operario vs C.F. Benfica
3:1
Nov 24, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
C.F. Benfica vs Operario
0:0
Aug 25, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Operario vs C.F. Benfica
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C.F. Benfica 76 / 100
Operario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C.F. Benfica Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick C.F. Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Operario conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Operario's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

C.F. Benfica's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

C.F. Benfica VS Operario
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

C.F. Benfica

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
30 Aug
C.F. Benfica
3 : 0
Viana Alentejo
22 Sept
Alcains
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica
08 Sept
C.F. Benfica
4 : 3
Industria
24 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
C.F. Benfica
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Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casa Pia 14 7 6 1 20:6 44
2 1º Dezembro 14 7 4 3 24:14 39
3 Sintrense 14 5 7 2 23:15 39
4 Operario 14 5 4 5 18:17 37
5 SC Praiense 14 6 4 4 27:21 31
6 Sporting Ideal 14 5 4 5 17:19 28
7 O Elvas CAD 14 4 3 7 12:22 20
8 C.F. Benfica 14 1 0 13 15:42 7
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)