Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Granma vs FC Santiago de Cuba

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between CF Granma and FC Santiago de Cuba finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Santiago de Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CF Granma
6%
Draws
90%
FC Santiago de Cuba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Santiago de Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Santiago de Cuba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Santiago de Cuba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 16%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Santiago de Cuba
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Santiago de Cuba
2:3
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs CF Granma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 10 / 100
FC Santiago de Cuba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Santiago de Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CF Granma scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: CF Granma stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Granma VS FC Santiago de Cuba
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Granma

(Home)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
Page 1 of 6

FC Santiago de Cuba

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)