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Stadium Background

CF Illueca vs Borja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gumiel J.

AI Match Summary

CF Illueca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Illueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CF Illueca
15%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Illueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Illueca lately — more wins on the board than Borja.
  • Model gives CF Illueca a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 19%
Borja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Illueca Borja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Borja
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs CF Illueca
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Borja
2:0
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs CF Illueca
2:2
Apr 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs CF Illueca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Illueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Illueca 58 / 100
Borja 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Illueca Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Illueca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Borja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Borja let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CF Illueca found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

CF Illueca VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Illueca

(Home)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 7

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)