Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Radojevic V.
14' Event
Zinckernagel P.
36'
Piette S.

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CF Montreal
40%
Draws
29%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chicago Fire have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Chicago Fire
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinckernagel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuypers H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 30 / 100
Chicago Fire 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Chicago Fire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Chicago Fire
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307