Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal host Inter Miami in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Inter Miami have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while CF Montreal have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, CF Montreal have won 2 to Inter Miami's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2025, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Inter Miami. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CF Montreal
28%
Draws
50%
Inter Miami
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Inter Miami have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • Win probability leans Inter Miami's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Inter Miami
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 20
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
1:4
May 28, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
4:2
May 11, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
2:3
May 27, 2023 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 22 / 100
Inter Miami 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Inter Miami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

CF Montreal scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Inter Miami's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Solid form: CF Montreal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Inter Miami
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
23 May
DC United
4 : 4
CF Montreal
16 May
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

Inter Miami

(Away)
24 May
Inter Miami
6 : 4
Philadelphia Union
17 May
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
13 May
FC Cincinnati
3 : 5
Inter Miami
09 May
Toronto FC
2 : 4
Inter Miami
02 May
Inter Miami
3 : 4
Orlando City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)