Sport Picks
CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante FC
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between CF Os Belenenses and Amarante FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarante FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CF Os Belenenses carry the better recent record into this one.
- CF Os Belenenses are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Os Belenenses | Amarante FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Os Belenenses Compare
Amarante FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Os Belenenses scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: CF Os Belenenses remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Amarante FC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CF Os Belenenses
(Home)Amarante FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarante FC | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Academica | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Mafra | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 8 | Trofense | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7:16 | 10 |
