Sport Picks
CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between CF Os Belenenses and Varzim finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CF Os Belenenses carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Os Belenenses | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Os Belenenses Compare
Varzim Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Os Belenenses found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Varzim let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: CF Os Belenenses remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CF Os Belenenses
(Home)Varzim
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarante FC | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Academica | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Mafra | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 8 | Trofense | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7:16 | 10 |