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CF Os Gavionenses vs Vigor Mocidade - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2009/2010
CF Os Gavionenses Logo

CF Os Gavionenses

Sun, Aug 30, 2009
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Vigor Mocidade Logo

Vigor Mocidade

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vigor Mocidade in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CF Os Gavionenses
15%
Draws
85%
Vigor Mocidade
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vigor Mocidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Os Gavionenses haven't matched Vigor Mocidade's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Mocidade taking it.
  • Vigor Mocidade arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vigor Mocidade, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
CF Os Gavionenses Clean Sheet 10%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Os Gavionenses Vigor Mocidade
Matches Played 8 11
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.38 1.09
Goals Conceded 5.13 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2009 Taça de Portugal
CF Os Gavionenses vs Vigor Mocidade
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Os Gavionenses 10 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Os Gavionenses Vigor Mocidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Mocidade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Mocidade let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Vigor Mocidade lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CF Os Gavionenses found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

CF Os Gavionenses VS Vigor Mocidade
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
5.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Os Gavionenses

(Home)
30 Aug
Macao
5 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
08 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
0 : 3
Arronches Benfica
10 Sept
Alverca
13 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
11 Sept
Santarem
1 : 0
CF Os Gavionenses
25 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
2 : 3
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 2

Vigor Mocidade

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0
Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2