Sport Picks
CF Os Gavionenses vs Vigor Mocidade
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
Vigor Mocidade in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vigor Mocidade
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- CF Os Gavionenses haven't matched Vigor Mocidade's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Mocidade taking it.
- Vigor Mocidade arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vigor Mocidade, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
CF Os Gavionenses Clean Sheet 10%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Os Gavionenses | Vigor Mocidade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 11 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.43 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.14 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.43 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 5.14 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2009 Taça de Portugal
CF Os Gavionenses vs Vigor Mocidade
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Os Gavionenses 10 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Os Gavionenses Vigor Mocidade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vigor Mocidade let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.
Vigor Mocidade lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
CF Os Gavionenses found the back of the net in 29% of recent matches (7 games).
Scoring Trends
CF Os Gavionenses VS Vigor Mocidade
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
5.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Os Gavionenses
(Home) 08 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
0 : 3 Arronches Benfica
10 Sept
Alverca
13 : 0 CF Os Gavionenses
11 Sept
Santarem
1 : 0 CF Os Gavionenses
25 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
2 : 3 Mortagua FC
04 Sept
Leiria
10 : 0 CF Os Gavionenses
Page 1 of 2
08 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
0 : 3 Arronches Benfica
25 Sept
CF Os Gavionenses
2 : 3 Mortagua FC
30 Aug
CF Os Gavionenses
1 : 2 Vigor Mocidade
Vigor Mocidade
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4 Vigor Mocidade
13 Sept
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves3
Leca0
Coimbroes2
Uniao Da Serra3
Academica2
Portimonense1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Beira Mar4
Nacional2
Varzim1
Vila Mea0
Fatima3
Tirsense1
Oliv. Bairro0
Aljustrelense1
Pacos Ferreira3
Pinhalnovense1
Sintrense0
Operario1
Oeiras6
Vigor Mocidade4
Cruzado Canicense1
Paredes1
Camacha3
Aliados Lordelo2
Machico0
Casa Pia1
Leixoes2
Gil Vicente6
Nelas1
Padroense0
Naval1
Rio Ave2
Esmoriz1
Maritimo1
Santa Clara2
Benfica6
Monsanto0
Feirense1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Freamunde3
Carregado0
Merelinense1
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal2
Atletico CP0
Covilha0
Braga1
Sporting CP3
Penafiel0
Cinfaes1
Pescadores Caparica2
U. Madeira2
Alcains0
Vieira0
Mafra1
BSAD3
Oriental1
Olhanense1
Valenciano2
Oliveirense2
Tondela1
Sertanense0
FC Porto4
1/16-finals
Chaves2
Uniao Da Serra0
Academica1
Beira Mar2
Nacional1
Fatima0
Tirsense0
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense2
Oeiras1
Vigor Mocidade0
Camacha1
Aliados Lordelo1
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Santa Clara0
Benfica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Freamunde3
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal0
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Pescadores Caparica1
U. Madeira1
Mafra2
BSAD1
Valenciano0
Oliveirense0
FC Porto2
1/8-finals
Chaves1
Beira Mar0
Nacional1
Pacos Ferreira2
Pinhalnovense1
Camacha0
Aliados Lordelo0
Naval1
Rio Ave3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Freamunde1
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Mafra3
BSAD2
FC Porto3
Quarter-finals
Chaves2
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Braga0
Sporting CP2
FC Porto5
Semi-finals
Chaves3
Naval1
Rio Ave1
FC Porto7
Final
Chaves1
FC Porto2