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CF Trujillo vs Arroyo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CF Trujillo and Arroyo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CF Trujillo
15%
Draws
21%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Trujillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CF Trujillo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CF Trujillo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 68%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Trujillo Arroyo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Arroyo
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CF Trujillo
0:2
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CF Trujillo
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Arroyo
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CF Trujillo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Trujillo 86 / 100
Arroyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Trujillo Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Trujillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arroyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Arroyo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Trujillo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CF Trujillo VS Arroyo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Trujillo

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)