Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Trujillo vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arias J.
Own Goal
14' Event
Andrada D.
29' Event
Molina A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CF Trujillo and CD Azuaga finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CF Trujillo
15%
Draws
69%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Azuaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 17%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Trujillo CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Azuaga
2:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
3:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Trujillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manzano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Trujillo 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Trujillo CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CF Trujillo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

CD Azuaga let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

CF Trujillo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Azuaga
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Trujillo

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
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CD Azuaga

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)