Sport Picks
CF Trujillo vs Don Alvaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
de Luis M.
72'
72'
Fernandez A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Trujillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Don Alvaro lately — more wins on the board than CF Trujillo.
- CF Trujillo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 68%
Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Trujillo | Don Alvaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.84 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Don Alvaro
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Don Alvaro
1:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Alvaro vs CF Trujillo
1:2
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Don Alvaro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Trujillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Don Alvaro Compare
Top Goalscorer de Luis M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Trujillo 86 / 100
Don Alvaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Trujillo Don Alvaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Trujillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Don Alvaro let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Difficult form: Don Alvaro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
CF Trujillo scored in 56% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
CF Trujillo VS Don Alvaro
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Trujillo
(Home) 23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
20 Apr
CF Trujillo
2 : 3 Pueblonuevo
06 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 4 CD Extremadura
23 Mar
CF Trujillo
0 : 0 Arroyo
Page 1 of 3
Don Alvaro
(Away) 26 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4 AD Merida
20 Jul
Don Alvaro
0 : 4 AD Merida
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2 Don Alvaro
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pueblonuevo
2 : 2 Don Alvaro
28 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Don Alvaro
14 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 1 Don Alvaro
28 Mar
CD Diocesano
1 : 0 Don Alvaro
17 Mar
Moralo
2 : 0 Don Alvaro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:13 | 76 |
| 2 | CD Coria | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 58:20 | 69 |
| 3 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 4 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:26 | 55 |
| 5 | Moralo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Castuera | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:37 | 52 |
| 7 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 50:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Jaraiz | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 51:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 35:45 | 43 |
| 10 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 40:52 | 42 |
| 11 | Jerez CF | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 13 | Arroyo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 14 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:38 | 38 |
| 15 | Don Alvaro | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30:50 | 32 |
| 16 | RCP Valverdeno | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:58 | 32 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:63 | 32 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28:59 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
