Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Gomez Spinoglio M.
23'
23'
Manzano J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CF Trujillo and Montijo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montijo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montijo come out ahead of CF Trujillo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 24%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Trujillo | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Montijo
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CF Trujillo
1:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Montijo
0:1
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CF Trujillo
1:2
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Montijo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Trujillo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Montijo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez Spinoglio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Trujillo 37 / 100
Montijo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Trujillo Montijo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montijo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montijo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Montijo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
CF Trujillo found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Montijo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Trujillo
(Home) 23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
20 Apr
CF Trujillo
2 : 3 Pueblonuevo
06 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 4 CD Extremadura
23 Mar
CF Trujillo
0 : 0 Arroyo
Page 1 of 3
Montijo
(Away) 20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1 Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3 Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2 Montijo
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Montijo
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2 Montijo
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
05 Apr
Jaraiz
1 : 1 Montijo
22 Mar
Villanovense
3 : 1 Montijo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
