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Stadium Background

CF Trujillo vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sanchez A.
27' Event
Sanchez A.
43' Event
Perez C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pueblonuevo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pueblonuevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CF Trujillo
30%
Draws
35%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pueblonuevo have won more games recently than CF Trujillo.
  • Win probability leans CF Trujillo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 19%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Trujillo Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Pueblonuevo
2:3
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CF Trujillo
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CF Trujillo
2:0
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Pueblonuevo
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CF Trujillo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Trujillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pueblonuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santos F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Trujillo 36 / 100
Pueblonuevo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Trujillo Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pueblonuevo conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CF Trujillo's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: CF Trujillo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pueblonuevo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Trujillo

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Pueblonuevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)