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CF Vilanova vs Can Vidalet

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Frutos A.

AI Match Summary

CF Vilanova in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CF Vilanova
20%
Draws
29%
Can Vidalet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Vilanova lately — more wins on the board than Can Vidalet.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on CF Vilanova taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 68%
Can Vidalet Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Can Vidalet
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Can Vidalet
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Can Vidalet vs CF Vilanova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Vilanova Compare

Top Goalscorer Frutos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Can Vidalet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 77 / 100
Can Vidalet 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Can Vidalet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Can Vidalet has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: CF Vilanova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Can Vidalet has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CF Vilanova's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS Can Vidalet
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
Page 1 of 6

Can Vidalet

(Away)
10 May
Can Vidalet
1 : 2
Cerdanyola del Valles
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
18 Apr
Can Vidalet
2 : 0
FC Lescala
12 Apr
UE Vic
5 : 0
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)