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CF Vilanova vs Gava

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between CF Vilanova and Gava finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CF Vilanova
20%
Draws
29%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Vilanova come out ahead of Gava on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CF Vilanova's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Gava
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.04 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Gava
1:0
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CF Vilanova
4:2
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs CF Vilanova
1:1
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Gava
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 67 / 100
Gava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CF Vilanova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CF Vilanova scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 6

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)