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Stadium Background

CF Vilanova vs Gramenet

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between CF Vilanova and Gramenet finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CF Vilanova
6%
Draws
4%
Gramenet
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CF Vilanova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CF Vilanova are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 20%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Gramenet
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Gramenet
2:1
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs CF Vilanova
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 85 / 100
Gramenet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Gramenet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gramenet conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

CF Vilanova has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gramenet's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
26 Apr
CF Vilanova
2 : 1
FC Lescala
Page 1 of 6

Gramenet

(Away)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Prat38229757:2775
2Espanyol B381913668:3070
3Manlleu AEC381811973:4865
4Pobla Mafumet3818101052:2764
5Cornella381614852:3562
6Santboia3816101247:4358
7Terrassa3816101257:5558
8FC Vilafranca381581551:6153
9Gava3814111349:5053
10Olot3813121353:5451
11UE Rubi381481661:5450
12Balaguer3813101536:5249
13UE Castelldefels3813101543:4749
14UE Vic3812111544:5047
15Montanesa3811141342:5447
16CE Europa3812101638:4646
17Gramenet3811101745:5243
18CF Vilanova3810111744:5841
19Amposta38872352:8531
20CD Masnou38592432:6824
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)