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CF Vilanova vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Bah M.
90' Event
Cuevas D.
90' Event
Torrents J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CF Vilanova and Peralada finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CF Vilanova
20%
Draws
38%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Peralada haven't matched CF Vilanova's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CF Vilanova's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 68%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Peralada
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Peralada
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs CF Vilanova
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Vilanova Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuevas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torrents J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 46 / 100
Peralada 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CF Vilanova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: CF Vilanova scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Peralada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS Peralada
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 6

Peralada

(Away)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
L Hospitalet
3 : 0
Peralada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)