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CF Vilanova vs Premia

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2009/2010 game between CF Vilanova and Premia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Premia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CF Vilanova
15%
Draws
26%
Premia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Vilanova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on CF Vilanova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Premia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 20%
Premia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Vilanova Premia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs CF Vilanova
2:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Premia
1:1
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Premia
1:2
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs CF Vilanova
2:0
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Premia vs CF Vilanova
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Vilanova 85 / 100
Premia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Vilanova Premia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Premia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CF Vilanova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Premia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Vilanova VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Vilanova

(Home)
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
24 May
Cornella
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
17 May
CF Vilanova
0 : 1
Cornella
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
CF Vilanova
1 : 0
Can Vidalet
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Premia

(Away)
15 May
Espanyol B
3 : 2
Premia
08 May
Premia
1 : 0
CE Europa
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
6 : 0
Premia
21 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Premia
17 Apr
Premia
0 : 5
Terrassa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 L Hospitalet 38 25 11 2 75:16 86
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 25 8 5 69:23 83
3 Santboia 38 20 10 8 68:46 70
4 Prat 38 19 10 9 60:33 67
5 Cornella 38 16 13 9 43:41 61
6 Manlleu AEC 38 15 15 8 53:39 60
7 Som Maresme 38 15 11 12 58:42 56
8 CE Europa 38 13 15 10 56:51 54
9 Balaguer 38 13 13 12 55:48 52
10 Amposta 38 13 13 12 58:60 52
11 UE Castelldefels 38 13 8 17 52:62 47
12 Palamos CF 38 13 7 18 42:55 46
13 CF Vilanova 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
14 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 10 16 47:54 46
15 UD Cassa 38 11 11 16 50:61 44
16 Benavent 38 11 10 17 48:69 43
17 Premia 38 9 9 20 35:53 36
18 UE Rapitenca 38 9 7 22 46:71 34
19 Blanes 38 7 6 25 43:85 27
20 Olesa de Montserrat 38 5 11 22 30:75 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)