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CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Solak Y.
65' Event
Nikol E.
73' Event
Pekdemir O.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 game between CFC Hertha and Sparta Lichtenberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CFC Hertha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CFC Hertha
20%
Draws
29%
Sparta Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CFC Hertha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Lichtenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CFC Hertha are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
CFC Hertha Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CFC Hertha Sparta Lichtenberg
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.93 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg vs CFC Hertha
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Sparta Lichtenberg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CFC Hertha Compare

Top Goalscorer Solak Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pekdemir O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Sparta Lichtenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikol E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CFC Hertha 38 / 100
Sparta Lichtenberg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CFC Hertha Sparta Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFC Hertha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: CFC Hertha scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CFC Hertha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sparta Lichtenberg
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CFC Hertha

(Home)
04 Feb
CFC Hertha
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
28 Jan
CFC Hertha
2 : 2
Lichtenberg
07 Jan
Hertha Berlin II
3 : 1
CFC Hertha
25 Nov
Rostocker FC
1 : 0
CFC Hertha
12 Nov
CFC Hertha
4 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
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Sparta Lichtenberg

(Away)
27 Sept
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)