Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kulach V. In: Khoma A.
Out: Kulach V.
46'
46'
Sub
Kogut I. In: Faraseyenko V.
Out: Kogut I.
63'
63'
Gerych V.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Ch. Odesa and Metalist Kharkiv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ch. Odesa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ch. Odesa's 1.18 goals per match outpaces what Metalist Kharkiv have produced (1.13).
- Model gives Metalist Kharkiv a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 20%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ch. Odesa | Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 1, 2026 Persha Liga
Ch. Odesa vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Ch. Odesa
1:1
Jun 4, 2023 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Ch. Odesa
0:3
Nov 25, 2022 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:0
Feb 4, 2022 Club Friendly
Metalist Kharkiv vs Ch. Odesa
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ch. Odesa 28 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ch. Odesa Metalist Kharkiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ch. Odesa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Metalist Kharkiv conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ch. Odesa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ch. Odesa VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ch. Odesa
(Home) 18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1 Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0 Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1 Obolon
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0 Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Kryvbas
02 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2 Polissya Zhytomyr
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Nyva Vinnytsya
Page 1 of 3
Metalist Kharkiv
(Away) 27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
23 Aug
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 Aug
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
