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Ch. Odesa vs Polissya Zhytomyr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Robakidze G.
32' Event
Veleten V.
Assist: Mykhaylichenko B.
46'
Sub
Emerllahu L. In: Krasnopir I.
Out: Emerllahu L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ch. Odesa and Polissya Zhytomyr finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polissya Zhytomyr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ch. Odesa
30%
Draws
51%
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polissya Zhytomyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polissya Zhytomyr come out ahead of Ch. Odesa on wins alone.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 15%
Polissya Zhytomyr Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Polissya Zhytomyr
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.07 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Polissya Zhytomyr
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Ch. Odesa
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Polissya Zhytomyr
1:4
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Ch. Odesa
1:4
Sep 16, 2023 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Polissya Zhytomyr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ch. Odesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Robakidze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Polissya Zhytomyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Veleten V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasnopir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 27 / 100
Polissya Zhytomyr 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Polissya Zhytomyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polissya Zhytomyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Ch. Odesa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Polissya Zhytomyr has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Ch. Odesa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Polissya Zhytomyr
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
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Polissya Zhytomyr

(Away)
11 Oct
Bukovyna
2 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
2 : 0
Kudrivka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
3 Dynamo Kyiv 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
4 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
5 Karpaty Lviv 8 4 2 2 15:6 14
6 Zorya 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
7 LNZ Cherkasy 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
8 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 Kolos Kovalivka 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Bukovyna 8 1 5 2 6:8 8
11 Epitsentr 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
12 Livyi Bereg 7 1 4 2 5:6 7
13 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 8 0 2 6 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)