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Cha Grande vs 1º de Maio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 game between Cha Grande and 1º de Maio finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cha Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cha Grande
20%
Draws
40%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • 1º de Maio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 14%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Grande 1º de Maio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.26 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Cha Grande vs 1º de Maio
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 31 / 100
1º de Maio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Grande 1º de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º de Maio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: 1º de Maio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cha Grande found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Cha Grande VS 1º de Maio
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.38
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Grande

(Home)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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1º de Maio

(Away)
02 Nov
1º de Maio
0 : 2
Caruaru
27 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 1
1º de Maio
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
1º de Maio
1 : 3
America PE
08 Oct
Aguia FC
4 : 1
1º de Maio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 7 6 1 0 18:4 19
2 Caruaru 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
3 Aguia FC 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Belo Jardim 7 3 3 1 11:7 12
5 Pesqueira 7 1 5 1 3:4 8
6 Cha Grande 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
7 1º de Maio 7 1 1 5 6:16 4
8 Sete de Setembro (PE) 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)