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Cha Grande vs Olinda FC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Cha Grande advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cha Grande
6%
Draws
90%
Olinda FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olinda FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Olinda FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Olinda FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Olinda FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cha Grande, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 18%
Olinda FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Grande Olinda FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Olinda FC vs Cha Grande
1:0
Sep 26, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
2:1
Aug 1, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Olinda FC vs Cha Grande
1:4
Jul 31, 2011 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Olinda FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 10 / 100
Olinda FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Grande Olinda FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olinda FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Olinda FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cha Grande's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cha Grande VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Grande

(Home)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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Olinda FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Olinda FC
14 Oct
Olinda FC
2 : 3
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Barreiros FC
1 : 0
Olinda FC
07 Oct
Olinda FC
2 : 1
Barreiros FC
04 Oct
Academica Vitoria
1 : 0
Olinda FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cha Grande1
Olinda FC1
Cabense0
Pesqueira1
Final
Cha Grande1
Pesqueira1