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Stadium Background

Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Oujda in this Botola 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
44%
Draws
20%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chabab Atlas Khenifra have won more games recently than USM Oujda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra Clean Sheet 24%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Atlas Khenifra USM Oujda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Atlas Khenifra 37 / 100
USM Oujda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Atlas Khenifra USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Oujda let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chabab Atlas Khenifra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chabab Atlas Khenifra scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Atlas Khenifra VS USM Oujda
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Atlas Khenifra

(Home)
05 Jul
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0 : 1
Amal Tiznit
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
2 : 1
KAC Kenitra
13 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 0
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
07 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
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USM Oujda

(Away)
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318
Promotion - Botola Pro 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)