Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chabab Houara vs Berkane

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2022
Chabab Houara Logo

Chabab Houara

Sun, May 14, 2023
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Berkane Logo

Berkane

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
El Bahri C.
90' Event
(Penalty)
96' Event
Muzungu C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Berkane in this Coupe du Trone 2022 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chabab Houara
20%
Draws
47%
Berkane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Berkane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berkane lately — more wins on the board than Chabab Houara.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Berkane arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Berkane, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chabab Houara Clean Sheet 21%
Berkane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Houara Berkane
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Coupe du Trone
Chabab Houara vs Berkane
1:2
Mar 18, 2012 Botola 2
Berkane vs Chabab Houara
0:0
Oct 30, 2011 Botola 2
Chabab Houara vs Berkane
0:2
May 5, 2007 Botola 2
Chabab Houara vs Berkane
2:0
Dec 17, 2006 Botola 2
Berkane vs Chabab Houara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chabab Houara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Berkane Compare

Top Goalscorer El Bahri C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzungu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Houara 32 / 100
Berkane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Houara Berkane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berkane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chabab Houara scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Berkane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chabab Houara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Berkane
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Houara

(Home)
14 May
Chabab Houara
1 : 2
Berkane
26 Mar
Chabab Houara
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
09 Feb
Chabab Houara
1 : 0
RAC Casablanca
26 Aug
Chabab Houara
1 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
22 Aug
Rapide Oued Zem
1 : 0
Chabab Houara
Page 1 of 6

Berkane

(Away)
05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3
Berkane
02 Jul
Berkane
2 : 0
Wydad Athletic
28 Jun
FUS Rabat
2 : 1
Berkane
25 Jun
Berkane
2 : 2
FAR Rabat
21 Jun
Maghreb Fez
1 : 2
Berkane
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Chabab Houara 1
RAC Casablanca 0
Renaissance Zemamra 3
Kasba Tadla 0
Olympique Khouribga 2
Amal Tiznit 1
Berkane 3
Ittihad Khemisset 0
Union Touarga 2
FAR Rabat 3
Stade Marocain 2
Fath Nador 1
USM Oujda 1
FUS Rabat 2
Olympique de Safi 2
AJS Boujdour 1
TAS Casablanca 0
Difaa El Jadidi 1
Chabab Benguerir 1
Rapide Oued Zem 0
Maghreb Fez 0
IR Tanger 2
Moghreb Tetouan 0
Wydad Athletic 1
FATH Casablanca 2
Sale 0
Chabab Mohammedia 1
Mouloudia Oujda 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Hassania Agadir 2
Youssoufia Berrechid 0
Raja Casablanca 1
1/8-finals
Chabab Houara 2
Renaissance Zemamra 1
Olympique Khouribga 0
Berkane 1
FAR Rabat 3
Stade Marocain 1
FUS Rabat 1
Olympique de Safi 0
Difaa El Jadidi 2
Chabab Benguerir 1
IR Tanger 1
Wydad Athletic 2
FATH Casablanca 1
Chabab Mohammedia 2
Hassania Agadir 0
Raja Casablanca 1
Quarter-finals
Chabab Houara 1
Berkane 2
FAR Rabat 0
FUS Rabat 1
Difaa El Jadidi 1
Wydad Athletic 2
Chabab Mohammedia 1
Raja Casablanca 2
Semi-finals
Berkane 2
FUS Rabat 1
Wydad Athletic 0
Raja Casablanca 1
Final
Berkane 1
Raja Casablanca 0