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Chabab Mohammedia vs Rapide Oued Zem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Excellence Cup Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Chabab Mohammedia Logo

Chabab Mohammedia

1 - 3
FT
Rapide Oued Zem Logo

Rapide Oued Zem

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Khafi Y.
68' Event
75' Event
Khafi Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chabab Mohammedia
15%
Draws
57%
Rapide Oued Zem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapide Oued Zem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chabab Mohammedia have won more games recently than Rapide Oued Zem.
  • Model gives Chabab Mohammedia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Chabab Mohammedia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rapide Oued Zem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 20%
Rapide Oued Zem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Mohammedia Rapide Oued Zem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.67 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Excellence Cup
Chabab Mohammedia vs Rapide Oued Zem
1:3
Sep 7, 2024 Excellence Cup
Rapide Oued Zem vs Chabab Mohammedia
1:0
Feb 25, 2022 Botola Pro
Chabab Mohammedia vs Rapide Oued Zem
4:1
Sep 28, 2021 Botola Pro
Rapide Oued Zem vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
May 22, 2021 Botola Pro
Rapide Oued Zem vs Chabab Mohammedia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chabab Mohammedia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rapide Oued Zem Compare

Top Goalscorer Khafi Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kassil I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 36 / 100
Rapide Oued Zem 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Mohammedia Rapide Oued Zem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rapide Oued Zem conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Rapide Oued Zem registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chabab Mohammedia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS Rapide Oued Zem
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Mohammedia

(Home)
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

Rapide Oued Zem

(Away)
22 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
18 Jul
Rapide Oued Zem
0 : 1
US Boujaad
18 May
Rapide Oued Zem
2 : 1
Raja Beni Mellal
14 May
Yacoub El Mansour
3 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
10 May
Rapide Oued Zem
1 : 0
Wydad Fes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KAC Kenitra 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
2 Raja Casablanca 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Olympique Khouribga 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Moghreb Tetouan 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dcheira 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Yacoub El Mansour 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Hassania Agadir 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
4 FAR Rabat 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berkane 6 3 3 0 16:7 12
2 Wydad Fes 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
3 Maghreb Fez 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
4 Raja Beni Mellal 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Marocain 6 5 0 1 9:4 15
2 Union Touarga 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 RAC Casablanca 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 IR Tanger 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kawkab Marrakech 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Wydad Athletic 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Jeunesse Massira 6 1 2 3 4:11 5
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympique de Safi 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 USM Oujda 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
3 Rapide Oued Zem 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Chabab Mohammedia 6 0 0 6 5:13 0
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FUS Rabat 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
2 Chabab Benguerir 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
3 Difaa El Jadidi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Mouloudia Oujda 6 0 3 3 2:7 3
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renaissance Zemamra 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 COD Meknes 6 2 2 2 6:9 8
3 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 6 1 3 2 2:2 6
4 Youssoufia Berrechid 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
Promotion - Excellence Cup (Play Offs)