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Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
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AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between Chabab Mohammedia and Stade Marocain finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Marocain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chabab Mohammedia
20%
Draws
40%
Stade Marocain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Marocain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chabab Mohammedia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Mohammedia Stade Marocain
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.69 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
3:0
Feb 26, 2011 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Stade Marocain
0:0
Oct 23, 2010 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
May 2, 2010 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Mohammedia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 46 / 100
Stade Marocain 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Mohammedia Stade Marocain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Stade Marocain registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chabab Mohammedia scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Stade Marocain let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS Stade Marocain
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Mohammedia

(Home)
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
14 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
1 : 1
Widad Temara
Page 1 of 6

Stade Marocain

(Away)
06 Sept
Stade Marocain
0 : 0
RAC Casablanca
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Widad Temara
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)