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Chaco Petrolero vs Fatic

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Chaco Petrolero and Fatic finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chaco Petrolero
6%
Draws
4%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chaco Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fatic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chaco Petrolero a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 68%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco Petrolero Fatic
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Chaco Petrolero
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco Petrolero vs Fatic
0:5
Nov 21, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco Petrolero vs Fatic
0:1
Nov 17, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Chaco Petrolero
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco Petrolero 95 / 100
Fatic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco Petrolero Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco Petrolero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fatic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chaco Petrolero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaco Petrolero VS Fatic
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco Petrolero

(Home)
15 Jul
Chaco Petrolero
3 : 0
Academia del Balompie
12 Jul
Huayna Potosi Palcoco
1 : 4
Chaco Petrolero
08 Jul
Fatic
1 : 1
Chaco Petrolero
02 Jul
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2
Chaco Petrolero
18 Jun
Academia del Balompie
0 : 0
Chaco Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Fatic

(Away)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams