Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chad W vs Ethiopia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Chad W Logo

Chad W

0 - 4
FT
Ethiopia W Logo

Ethiopia W

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Abera L.
20' Event
Wakuma S.
45' Event
Wakuma S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Ethiopia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chad W
15%
Draws
42%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia W come out ahead of Chad W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Ethiopia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Chad W Clean Sheet 15%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.67 3.65
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Chad W vs Ethiopia W
0:4
Jul 13, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Ethiopia W vs Chad W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chad W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Ethiopia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakuma S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abera L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad W 31 / 100
Ethiopia W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chad W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chad W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ethiopia W conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chad W VS Ethiopia W
3.83 Goals Scored 2.88
0.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad W

(Home)
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Afghanistan W
1 : 6
Chad W
26 Feb
Senegal W
:
Chad W
21 Feb
Chad W
:
Senegal W
Page 1 of 2

Ethiopia W

(Away)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guinea Bissau W 4
Benin W 5
Guinea W 0
Ghana W 7
Burkina Faso W 2
Mali W 3
TBD -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Sierra Leone W -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 0
TBD -
Morocco W -
Uganda W 4
Rwanda W 3
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Ethiopia W 10
Chad W 0
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W -
Tanzania W -
TBD -
Botswana W -
Mozambique W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
South Africa W -
Quarter-finals
Benin W 0
Ghana W 5
Mali W -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 0
Morocco W 4
Uganda W 2
Cameroon W 3
Ethiopia W 1
Nigeria W 5
Tanzania W 3
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 3
Semi-finals
Ghana W 3
Zambia W 4
Tunisia W 2
Morocco W 6
Cameroon W 0
Nigeria W 1
Tanzania W 0
South Africa W 4
Final
Zambia W 3
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 1
South Africa W 0