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Chadormalu vs Mes Rafsanjan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Nassiri Stadium, Yazd
Fri, Mar 6, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chadormalu host Mes Rafsanjan in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Chadormalu at 1.12 goals for, 0.92 against; Mes Rafsanjan at 0.54 for, 1.08 against. Past meetings favor Chadormalu slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.38 - 0.50) back Chadormalu to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chadormalu
30%
Draws
37%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chadormalu lately — more wins on the board than Mes Rafsanjan.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Chadormalu Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chadormalu Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.12 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Chadormalu
2:3
Feb 27, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Chadormalu
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chadormalu 32 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chadormalu Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chadormalu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chadormalu scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Mes Rafsanjan has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chadormalu VS Mes Rafsanjan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chadormalu

(Home)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2
Tractor
24 Aug
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)