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Chaidari vs Agias Marinas

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chaidari play Agias Marinas in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. Chaidari are favorites here. Recently, Chaidari averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Agias Marinas averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Chaidari won 2, Agias Marinas won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Chaidari and 1.19 for Agias Marinas. This points to a Chaidari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chaidari
22%
Draws
18%
Agias Marinas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chaidari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaidari picked up more points recently compared to Agias Marinas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Chaidari Clean Sheet 20%
Agias Marinas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaidari Agias Marinas
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Agias Marinas vs Chaidari
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Chaidari vs Agias Marinas
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Agias Marinas vs Chaidari
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaidari 58 / 100
Agias Marinas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaidari Agias Marinas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaidari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Chaidari & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chaidari attacking → ← attacking Agias Marinas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaidari scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Agias Marinas let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chaidari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Agias Marinas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 14
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ethnikos Piraeus22147132:1749
2Ionikos22116525:2039
3Saronikos Anavyssou22115626:1638
4Mykonos22114730:2537
5Kyanos Astir Varis22106632:2336
6Thyella Diastavroseos2296726:2033
7Atsalenios FC2285925:2529
8Giouchtas22841030:3028
9AO Ilisiakos2276925:2927
10Chaidari22731224:2624
11Aias22631320:2821
12Agias Marinas22131813:496