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Chainat Hornbill vs Suphanburi FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Phothep P.
62' Event
van Lingen O.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Jittabud T.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2024/2025 game between Chainat Hornbill and Suphanburi FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chainat Hornbill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chainat Hornbill
15%
Draws
0%
Suphanburi FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chainat Hornbill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chainat Hornbill are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 19%
Suphanburi FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Suphanburi FC
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.47 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Suphanburi FC
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Thai League 2
Suphanburi FC vs Chainat Hornbill
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Thai League 2
Suphanburi FC vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Suphanburi FC
1:2
Jan 29, 2023 Thai League 2
Suphanburi FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Phothep P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jittabud T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Suphanburi FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 85 / 100
Suphanburi FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Suphanburi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suphanburi FC let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Suphanburi FC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chainat Hornbill scored in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chainat Hornbill

(Home)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 8

Suphanburi FC

(Away)
26 Apr
Suphanburi FC
0 : 1
Chonburi
19 Apr
Bangkok FC
3 : 2
Suphanburi FC
09 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 7
Ratchaburi
06 Apr
Suphanburi FC
0 : 2
Mahasarakham
02 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1
Suphanburi FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chonburi 32 19 6 7 56:30 63
2 Ayutthaya United 32 17 9 6 57:30 60
3 Phrae United 32 17 7 8 61:38 58
4 Kanchanaburi 32 13 13 6 53:36 52
5 Mahasarakham 32 13 9 10 44:39 48
6 Lampang F.C. 32 13 9 10 48:39 48
7 Kasetsart 32 11 12 9 36:37 45
8 Bangkok FC 32 13 6 13 42:50 45
9 Nakhon Si United 32 13 5 14 51:52 44
10 Sisaket United 32 10 11 11 29:39 41
11 Chiangmai United 32 10 10 12 41:48 40
12 Police Tero 32 11 7 14 39:48 40
13 Chanthaburi 32 10 8 14 37:48 38
14 Chainat Hornbill 32 8 11 13 32:34 35
15 Trat FC 32 9 6 17 36:49 33
16 Pattaya United 32 8 8 16 32:47 32
17 Suphanburi FC 32 5 7 20 42:72 22
18 Samut Prakan City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)