Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalatenango vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Delgado J.
39' Event
Maldonado H.
60' Event
Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between Chalatenango and Jocoro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jocoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chalatenango
20%
Draws
40%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jocoro come out ahead of Chalatenango on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chalatenango taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 68%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalatenango Jocoro
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Jocoro
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
1:4
Oct 23, 2022 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
4:0
Oct 1, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Jocoro
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Chalatenango
6:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Jocoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maldonado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalatenango 77 / 100
Jocoro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalatenango Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalatenango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jocoro let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Chalatenango scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Jocoro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jocoro
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalatenango

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
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Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)