Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalatenango vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Peralta L.
47' Event
Alvarado D.
53' Event
Guerra S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chalatenango
15%
Draws
59%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Metapan have won more games recently than Chalatenango.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalatenango Metapan
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Metapan
2:2
Jan 29, 2023 Primera Division
Metapan vs Chalatenango
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Primera Division
Metapan vs Chalatenango
0:0
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Metapan
0:0
May 15, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Metapan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalatenango 32 / 100
Metapan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalatenango Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chalatenango found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Metapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Chalatenango stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalatenango

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
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Metapan

(Away)
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1
Metapan
23 Aug
Metapan
2 : 0
Alianza FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)