Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalatenango vs UES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Diaz B.
87' Event
Gil Mosquera C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chalatenango
15%
Draws
59%
UES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chalatenango have won more games recently than UES.
  • Model gives Chalatenango a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 12%
UES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalatenango UES
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
2:2
Jan 26, 2017 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs UES
1:1
Oct 12, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
3:3
Aug 11, 2016 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs UES
2:2
May 1, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Chalatenango
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

UES Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Mosquera C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalatenango 35 / 100
UES 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalatenango UES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Chalatenango scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

UES has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Chalatenango went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chalatenango VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalatenango

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

UES

(Away)
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0
Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0
UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2
UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0
CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 5 4 38:21 44
2 Aguila 22 9 10 3 25:14 37
3 Santa Tecla 22 9 7 6 36:27 34
4 Metapan 22 9 7 6 28:21 34
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
6 FAS 22 7 10 5 21:23 31
7 Municipal Limeno 22 7 6 9 26:32 27
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 24:23 26
9 UES 22 6 8 8 28:32 26
10 Dragon 22 7 4 11 24:30 25
11 CD Sonsonate 22 6 3 13 24:36 21
12 Chalatenango 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)