Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalfont St Peter vs Kempston

England England

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chalfont St Peter
15%
Draws
85%
Kempston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kempston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kempston haven't matched Chalfont St Peter's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kempston's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chalfont St Peter have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 10%
Kempston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalfont St Peter Kempston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2018 FA Cup
Kempston vs Chalfont St Peter
3:2
Sep 8, 2018 FA Cup
Chalfont St Peter vs Kempston
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 22 / 100
Kempston 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalfont St Peter Kempston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kempston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chalfont St Peter's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kempston lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chalfont St Peter VS Kempston
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

(Home)
25 Sept
Ashford United
2 : 1
Chalfont St Peter
26 Sept
Hythe
3 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
22 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
2 : 3
Farnborough
28 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
0 : 1
Whitstable Town
07 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
Page 1 of 6

Kempston

(Away)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guiseley -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 1
Staveley Miners 3
Bamber Bridge 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Atherstone 1
Leamington -
TBD -
Highgate United 1
Stourbridge 2
Warrington Town 4
Burscough 0
FC Congleton Town 0
Consett 1
Bedford 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley -
TBD -
Parkgate 2
Leek Town 5
Boston United -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 6
Newcastle Benfield 4
Kendal 3
Knaresborough Town 7
Mossley AFC 5
Clitheroe 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport -
TBD -
FC Guisborough Town 0
Farsley 4
Radcliffe 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
King’s Lynn 9
Histon 2
Grimsby Borough 1
Stafford 2
Trafford 2
Lancaster 0
TBD -
Ashton United -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Worksop 2
Nantwich 5
Halesowen 2
Matlock 1
Chasetown 3
Gainsborough 9
St Ives Town 3
Saffron 1
Daventry 0
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 3
Morpeth 2
TBD -
York City -
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
North Ferriby United 1
Runcorn Town 2
Irlam 3
City Of Liverpool 5
Squires Gate 1
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Garforth 1
South Shields 5
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 0
Hertford Town 0
Corby 2
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Whitley Bay 1
Whitby 0
TBD -
Altrincham -
Marine 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Maltby 1
Frickley 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 5
Bottesford Town 0
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Colne 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Rushall 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Anstey Nomads 2
Oadby Town 1
Haughmond FC 0
Mickleover 6
Coalville Town 2
Racing Club Warwick 1
Barwell 2
Buxton 5
Romulus 4
Belper Town 0
Stortford 1
Neots 2
Woking -
TBD -
Horsham YMCA 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Marlow 2
Aylesbury United 1
Chalfont St Peter 3
Kempston 4
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Chesham 2
Biggleswade Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Hitchin 3
Godmanchester Rovers 1
Wingate & Finchley 1
Didcot 2
Leiston 6
Cheshunt 4
Kingstonian 1
Hastings 2
Hanwell Town 2
Potters 1
Ware 0
Lowestoft 1
FC Haverhill Rovers 2
Long Melford 1
Herne Bay 0
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Woodbridge 1
Swindon Supermarine 7
Lancing 2
Phoenix Sports 5
Phoenix Sports -
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Brantham 1
Tonbridge 2
Hythe 0
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Chipping Sodbury Town 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Basingstoke 3
Sholing 1
Hamworthy United 0
TBD -
Slough Town -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Takeley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 5
Gosport Borough 1
Sittingbourne 0
Sevenoaks 2
Ramsgate 4
Dartford -
TBD -
Croydon Athletic 0
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 4
Merstham 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Yate 2
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 3
Beckenham Town 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Coggeshall Town 3
Lewes 4
Farnborough 3
Northwood 1
Kings Langley 3
Banbury 3
Weymouth 2
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
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TBD -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 3
Cray Wanderers 2
Barton 0
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 4
Wimborne 1
Bridport 0
Tiverton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Street 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Leverstock Green 1
Hadley 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Tamworth 0
Redditch 2
Rugby 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Stourport 1
Romford 1
Kettering 4
Torquay -
TBD -
Lydney Town 3
Lymington 4
Egham Town 1
Staines 0
Cambridge City 3
Brightlingsea 4
Cirencester 7
AFC Stoneham 0
Buckland 0
Binfield 3
Merthyr Town 4
Melksham 1
Frome Town 2
Winchester City 3
Billericay -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
Pagham 0
Whitehawk 2
St. Albans -
Whyteleafe -
Whyteleafe 2
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 3
Westbury United 0
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Taunton Town 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 1
Harrow Borough 0
Fleet Town 1
East Grinstead Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Great Wakering 3
Wantage 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Thamesmead 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Faversham 1
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 3
Brentwood 2
Spelthorne Sports 1
Erith Town 5
Bognor Regis 5
Whitstable Town 0
Royston Town 2
Sudbury 3
Horsham FC 6
Corinthian 1
Newmarket 0
Heybridge 2
Cinderford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 0
Shaftesbury Town 0
Poole Town 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Horndean 2
Margate 3
Romania 4
Soham 0
Walthamstow FC 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Quarter-finals
Guiseley 4
Staveley Miners 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Cleethorpes 8
Kidderminster 5
Atherstone 0
Leamington 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 5
Consett 3
Bedford 1
Telford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Leek Town 0
Boston United 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 4
Knaresborough Town 1
Mossley AFC 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 3
Farsley 0
Radcliffe 1
Curzon Ashton 2
King’s Lynn 3
Stafford 1
Trafford 0
Ashton United 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Nantwich 3
Halesowen 0
Gainsborough 3
St Ives Town 3
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 0
York City 5
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 2
Irlam 1
City Of Liverpool 0
Chester 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 2
South Shields 1
Alvechurch 1
Corby 4
Bradford PA 1
Darlington FC 0
Whitley Bay 0
Altrincham 5
Marine 1
Frickley 0
Nuneaton 1
Brackley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
Spennymoor 1
Colne 0
United of Manchester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Anstey Nomads 1
Mickleover 7
Coalville Town 4
Buxton 1
Romulus 3
Neots 4
Woking 4
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Hereford 4
Truro 3
Chesham 1
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Didcot 1
Leiston 3
Hastings 4
Hanwell Town 1
Lowestoft 0
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Leatherhead 6
Chippenham Town 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
Lancing 1
Hendon 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 1
Brantham 0
Tonbridge 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Basingstoke 2
Sholing 2
Slough Town 5
Hemel Hempstead 6
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Gosport Borough 2
Ramsgate 3
Dartford 3
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Oxford City 5
Weston-super-Mare 5
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 0
Coggeshall Town 2
Lewes 3
Kings Langley 2
Banbury 0
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 5
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 0
Tiverton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
Leverstock Green 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 3
Rugby 1
AFC Mansfield 1
Kettering 2
Torquay 7
Lymington 0
Egham Town 4
Brightlingsea 5
Cirencester 3
Binfield 0
Merthyr Town 1
Winchester City 4
Billericay 4
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
St. Albans 4
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 0
Taunton Town 4
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Burgess Hill 0
Hampton & Richmond 3
Wealdstone 2
Great Wakering 0
Wantage 3
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Chelmsford 1
Worthing FC 2
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Erith Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Sudbury 4
Horsham FC 4
Heybridge 3
Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Margate 0
Romania 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Semi-finals
Guiseley 4
Cleethorpes 3
Kidderminster 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 2
Telford 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Peterborough Sports 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Workington 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 2
Curzon Ashton 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gainsborough 1
St Ives Town 0
York City 3
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
Chester 3
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 3
Corby 0
Bradford PA 2
Altrincham 4
Marine 3
Brackley 2
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 2
Mickleover 1
Coalville Town 5
Neots 6
Woking 3
Kempston 2
Hereford 0
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Hastings 0
Hanwell Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 4
Hendon 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Slough Town 6
Hemel Hempstead 5
Ramsgate 0
Dartford 1
Oxford City 4
Weston-super-Mare 1
Coggeshall Town 0
Lewes 0
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 4
Tiverton 3
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 6
Dorking Wanderers 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Hednesford 0
Kettering 4
Torquay 3
Brightlingsea 0
Cirencester 0
Winchester City 3
Billericay 9
Whitehawk 1
St. Albans 2
Taunton Town 5
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 2
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Moneyfields 2
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Horsham FC 2
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Beaconsfield Town 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stage 5
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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Final
Guiseley 3
Stourbridge 1
Warrington Town 2
Halifax 4
Chorley 3
Barrow 2
Hartlepool 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
AFC Fylde 1
Chesterfield 3
Southport 2
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 0
York City 1
Harrogate 0
Wrexham 2
Dunston 0
Gateshead 4
Stockport County 2
Altrincham 0
Marine 1
Salford 2
Witton Albion 0
Solihull Moors 2
Alfreton 4
Neots 0
Woking 1
Welling 0
Hitchin 3
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Slough Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Oxford City 6
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Gloucester City 0
Bromley 1
Aldershot 2
Kettering 0
Torquay 4
Winchester City 1
Billericay 3
Taunton Town 2
Eastleigh 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 1
Sutton 2
Ebbsfleet 4
Worthing FC 0
Maidstone 2
Leyton Orient 0
Haringey Borough 2
Poole Town 1
Barnet 4
Braintree 2
Concord Rangers 0
Dover Ath. 1