Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2012/2013

Chalfont St Peter

3 - 2

Newport Pagnell

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Chalfont St Peter advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chalfont St Peter

40%

Draws

29%

Newport Pagnell

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Newport Pagnell haven't matched Chalfont St Peter's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Chalfont St Peter have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chalfont St Peter, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 19%

Newport Pagnell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chalfont St Peter	Newport Pagnell
Matches Played	31	4
Wins	10	0
Draws	7	0
Losses	14	4
Goals Scored	2.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup

Chalfont St Peter vs Newport Pagnell

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 32 / 100

Newport Pagnell 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chalfont St Peter Newport Pagnell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport Pagnell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Chalfont St Peter's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Newport Pagnell has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chalfont St Peter VS Newport Pagnell

2.25 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 3

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

(Home)

25 Sept

Ashford United

2 : 1

Chalfont St Peter

26 Sept

Hythe

3 : 0

Chalfont St Peter

22 Sept

Chalfont St Peter

2 : 3

Farnborough

28 Sept

Chalfont St Peter

0 : 1

Whitstable Town

07 Sept

Chichester City

2 : 0

Chalfont St Peter

Page 1 of 7

Newport Pagnell

(Away)

04 Sept

Worksop

3 : 0

Newport Pagnell

07 Jul

Newport Pagnell

0 : 3

Milton Keynes Dons

16 Aug

Leverstock Green

2 : 1

Newport Pagnell

08 Sept

Chalfont St Peter

3 : 2

Newport Pagnell

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Cambridge Utd-

TBD-

Luton-

Alfreton-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Hyde-

TBD-

Frickley2

Worksop0

Nantwich0

Chorley2

West Auckland Town3

Ashington2

TBD-

Harrogate-

United of Manchester5

Cammell Laird0

Lancaster0

Salford4

Witton Albion4

Burscough2

Dunston5

Kendal7

TBD-

Hereford-

Barrow-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Guiseley-

TBD-

Bootle1

Bamber Bridge2

Warrington Town1

Maine Road0

TBD-

Colwyn Bay-

Hednesford3

Redditch0

Dudley0

Nuneaton Griff1

Stamford2

Holbeach1

Quorn1

Buxton2

Grimsby-

TBD-

Kidderminster-

Bradford PA-

TBD-

Maltby1

Curzon Ashton8

New Mills2

Retford United1

Rainworth3

Carlton Town5

Hinckley-

TBD-

Wolverhampton Casuals3

Tividale5

North Ferriby United2

Eccleshill United0

Farsley1

Ossett Albion2

Wrexham-

TBD-

Southport-

AFC Fylde3

Ramsbottom Utd1

Bedlington0

Bishop Auckland1

Westfields5

Norton United2

TBD-

Solihull Moors-

Gresley6

Thurnby3

Stourport2

Stafford3

Belper Town3

Matlock0

Coalville Town0

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)1

Boston United-

TBD-

FC Wisbech Town0

Kettering3

Skelmersdale1

Clitheroe0

Holker Old Boys0

Tadcaster Albion3

Leek Town5

Bewdley Town0

Rushall1

Bridgnorth Town3

Shildon3

Durham1

TBD-

Altrincham-

Lincoln City-

TBD-

Chester-

TBD-

Gainsborough-

Abbey Hey2

Atherton Collieries1

TBD-

Halifax-

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Trafford4

Runcorn F.C.0

South Shields0

Spennymoor2

Ashton United3

Prescot Cables1

Stocksbridge0

Marine3

Workington-

TBD-

Garforth0

Blyth Spartans1

Bedworth United2

Rugby1

Wulfrunians0

Barwell3

TBD-

Mansfield-

Stockport County-

TBD-

Whitby2

Ossett Town1

TBD-

Droylsden-

Vauxhall-

TBD-

Stalybridge-

Telford-

TBD-

Nuneaton-

South Park2

Walton & Hersham1

Colney Heath1

Harefield United2

Maldon & Tiptree2

Soham0

Wroxham0

Brentwood5

Dereham4

Bugbrooke1

Market Drayton2

Chasetown3

Berkhamsted Town4

Uxbridge3

Beckenham Town1

Metropolitan Police7

Didcot1

Windsor & Eton0

Sherborne Town0

Clevedon5

Bognor Regis4

Epsom0

TBD-

Maidenhead-

Brackley-

TBD-

King’s Lynn3

Daventry4

Dulwich Hamlet5

Godalming Town4

Barton0

Arlesey1

Forest Green-

TBD-

Dartford-

Yate2

Winchester City1

TBD-

Oxford City-

Havant & Waterlooville-

TBD-

Wantage1

North Leigh6

TBD-

Newport-

Hastings3

Chatham1

TBD-

Staines-

Whitehawk5

Sittingbourne0

Ware0

Hitchin5

Sholing4

Melksham0

Gillingham Town3

Taunton Town1

Fareham2

Christchurch1

Almondsbury UWE0

Blackfield & Langley4

Bromley-

TBD-

Sutton-

Tonbridge-

TBD-

Dover Ath.-

Weston-super-Mare-

TBD-

Larkhall0

Frome Town4

Gornal3

Sutton Coldfield Town0

TBD-

Worcester-

Chelmsford-

TBD-

Tooting & Mitcham1

Leatherhead3

Thamesmead2

Worthing FC0

Greenwich Borough0

Cray Wanderers1

Maidstone4

Chipstead0

Norwich Utd1

Grays2

Kingstonian3

Guildford City0

FC Witham Town0

East Thurrock Utd2

AFC Totton6

Swindon Supermarine0

TBD-

Truro-

Hungerford3

Banbury1

Cinderford Town1

Merthyr Town4

Billericay-

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Grantham Town5

Loughborough Dynamo3

Huntingdon0

Cambridge City7

Welling-

TBD-

Needham Market0

Concord Rangers1

Horsham FC1

VCD Athletic0

Basildon0

Thurrock3

Chalfont St Peter3

Newport Pagnell2

Pagham0

Carshalton3

Enfield Town2

Margaretsbury0

TBD-

Stortford-

Braintree-

TBD-

St. Albans3

Harrow Borough1

Dunstable Town2

Ashford Town5

Wealdstone2

Biggleswade Town0

Tilbury0

Lowestoft2

Dorchester-

TBD-

Highworth1

Wootton3

Weymouth5

Totton & Eling2

TBD-

Basingstoke-

Hampton & Richmond3

Kempston0

Hemel Hempstead2

Walthamstow FC5

Wingate & Finchley4

Royston Town3

Canvey Island0

Bury Town3

Gloucester City-

TBD-

Marlow1

Thatcham3

Farnborough-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

Badshot Lea3

Folkestone2

Southend Manor1

Leiston5

Bishops Cleeve6

Bracknell Town0

Mangotsfield1

Chippenham Town3

Corby-

TBD-

Stourbridge3

Leamington4

Eastwood4

Blaby & Whetstone2

TBD-

Histon-

Eastbourne Borough-

TBD-

Bedford0

Waltham Abbey1

Lewes3

Redhill1

Potters1

Hendon4

Woking-

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Slough Town4

Lingfield1

Littlehampton0

Eastbourne Town1

Aveley6

Hadleigh1

Faversham0

Margate3

Bath City-

TBD-

Plymouth Parkway3

Buckland7

Bideford5

Bodmin Town4

Bashley3

Gosport Borough4

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

Sudbury1

Heybridge4

Newport Isle of Wight2

Horndean0

TBD-

Salisbury-

Northwood1

Chesham0

London Lions2

AFC Dunstable4

Neots5

Peterborough Northern Star0

TBD-

Boreham Wood-

Quarter-finals

Cambridge Utd-

TBD-

Luton-

Alfreton-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Hyde-

TBD-

Frickley3

Chorley1

West Auckland Town3

Harrogate7

United of Manchester3

Salford2

Witton Albion2

Kendal4

TBD-

Hereford-

Barrow-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Guiseley1

Bamber Bridge0

Warrington Town2

Colwyn Bay3

Hednesford3

Nuneaton Griff2

Stamford1

Buxton3

Grimsby-

TBD-

Kidderminster-

Bradford PA3

Curzon Ashton1

New Mills3

Carlton Town4

Hinckley5

Tividale3

North Ferriby United1

Ossett Albion2

Wrexham-

TBD-

Southport-

AFC Fylde2

Bishop Auckland1

Westfields2

Solihull Moors3

Gresley3

Stafford2

Belper Town3

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)7

Boston United1

Kettering0

Skelmersdale1

Tadcaster Albion4

Leek Town3

Bridgnorth Town0

Shildon0

Altrincham3

Lincoln City-

TBD-

Chester3

Gainsborough2

Abbey Hey0

Halifax6

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Trafford5

Spennymoor3

Ashton United0

Marine2

Workington2

Blyth Spartans1

Bedworth United2

Barwell3

TBD-

Mansfield-

Stockport County-

TBD-

Whitby4

Droylsden3

Vauxhall0

Stalybridge1

Telford-

TBD-

Nuneaton-

South Park4

Harefield United1

Maldon & Tiptree2

Brentwood3

Dereham2

Chasetown1

Berkhamsted Town0

Metropolitan Police3

Didcot3

Clevedon1

Bognor Regis2

Maidenhead4

Brackley4

Daventry0

Dulwich Hamlet0

Arlesey1

Forest Green-

TBD-

Dartford-

Yate2

Oxford City1

Havant & Waterlooville0

North Leigh1

TBD-

Newport-

Hastings3

Staines2

Whitehawk1

Hitchin6

Sholing3

Gillingham Town1

Fareham0

Blackfield & Langley2

Bromley1

Sutton0

Tonbridge1

Dover Ath.2

Weston-super-Mare2

Frome Town0

Gornal0

Worcester4

Chelmsford2

Leatherhead1

Thamesmead1

Cray Wanderers3

Maidstone5

Grays0

Kingstonian2

East Thurrock Utd3

AFC Totton3

Truro2

Hungerford1

Merthyr Town2

Billericay3

Hornchurch1

Grantham Town1

Cambridge City3

Welling3

Concord Rangers2

Horsham FC1

Thurrock2

Chalfont St Peter1

Carshalton0

Enfield Town1

Stortford4

Braintree-

TBD-

St. Albans6

Ashford Town2

Wealdstone1

Lowestoft2

Dorchester4

Wootton0

Weymouth1

Basingstoke3

Hampton & Richmond1

Walthamstow FC0

Wingate & Finchley1

Bury Town2

Gloucester City2

Thatcham1

Farnborough1

Eastleigh2

Badshot Lea4

Leiston2

Bishops Cleeve1

Chippenham Town2

Corby3

Leamington2

Eastwood3

Histon5

Eastbourne Borough4

Waltham Abbey2

Lewes0

Hendon3

Woking-

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Slough Town5

Eastbourne Town1

Aveley1

Margate4

Bath City2

Buckland1

Bideford0

Gosport Borough2

Hayes & Yeading3

Heybridge2

Newport Isle of Wight0

Salisbury3

Northwood4

AFC Dunstable1

Neots1

Boreham Wood2

Semi-finals

Cambridge Utd-

TBD-

Luton-

Alfreton-

TBD-

Gateshead-

Hyde-

TBD-

Frickley2

Harrogate3

United of Manchester3

Kendal1

TBD-

Hereford-

Barrow-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Guiseley4

Colwyn Bay2

Hednesford3

Buxton4

Grimsby-

TBD-

Kidderminster-

Bradford PA3

Carlton Town1

Hinckley2

Ossett Albion3

Wrexham-

TBD-

Southport-

AFC Fylde4

Solihull Moors1

Gresley2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)4

Boston United2

Tadcaster Albion0

Leek Town0

Altrincham2

Lincoln City-

TBD-

Chester2

Halifax4

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Trafford1

Marine3

Workington3

Barwell1

TBD-

Mansfield-

Stockport County-

TBD-

Whitby1

Stalybridge3

Telford-

TBD-

Nuneaton-

South Park3

Brentwood1

Dereham1

Metropolitan Police3

Didcot1

Maidenhead0

Brackley3

Arlesey4

Forest Green-

TBD-

Dartford-

Yate2

North Leigh1

TBD-

Newport-

Hastings4

Hitchin3

Sholing1

Blackfield & Langley3

Bromley2

Dover Ath.1

Weston-super-Mare1

Worcester2

Chelmsford2

Cray Wanderers1

Maidstone0

East Thurrock Utd3

AFC Totton3

Merthyr Town2

Billericay3

Cambridge City5

Welling4

Thurrock2

Chalfont St Peter2

Stortford4

Braintree-

TBD-

St. Albans0

Lowestoft1

Dorchester1

Basingstoke0

Hampton & Richmond0

Bury Town4

Gloucester City1

Eastleigh0

Badshot Lea1

Chippenham Town3

Corby3

Histon2

Eastbourne Borough3

Hendon4

Woking-

TBD-

Ebbsfleet-

Slough Town1

Margate0

Bath City2

Gosport Borough4

Hayes & Yeading2

Salisbury1

Northwood0

Boreham Wood4

Stage 5

TBD-

Stage 4

TBD-

Stage 3

TBD-

Stage 2

TBD-

Stage 1

TBD-

Final

Cambridge Utd0

Luton2

Alfreton2

Gateshead0

Hyde1

Harrogate2

United of Manchester0

Hereford2

Barrow2

Tamworth0

Guiseley2

Buxton0

Grimsby2

Kidderminster4

Bradford PA4

Ossett Albion1

Wrexham2

Southport0

AFC Fylde2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive)1

Boston United1

Altrincham3

Lincoln City2

Halifax0

Macclesfield3

Marine1

Workington1

Mansfield2

Stockport County5

Stalybridge3

Telford2

Nuneaton3

South Park0

Metropolitan Police3

Didcot0

Arlesey1

Forest Green5

Dartford2

Yate6

Newport4

Hastings3

Blackfield & Langley0

Bromley1

Worcester0

Chelmsford7

East Thurrock Utd6

AFC Totton2

Cambridge City3

Welling1

Stortford3

Braintree3

Lowestoft2

Dorchester3

Bury Town1

Gloucester City1

Chippenham Town0

Corby1

Hendon2

Woking0

Ebbsfleet1

Slough Town2

Gosport Borough1

Hayes & Yeading2

Boreham Wood3