Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Challans vs Cholet

France France

Coupe de France 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Trabelsi S.

AI Match Summary

Cholet in this Coupe de France 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Challans
20%
Draws
36%
Cholet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Challans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cholet lately — more wins on the board than Challans.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cholet arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cholet, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Challans Clean Sheet 10%
Cholet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Challans Cholet
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2016 Coupe de France
Challans vs Cholet
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Challans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cholet Compare

Top Goalscorer Trabelsi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Challans 30 / 100
Cholet 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Challans Cholet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cholet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cholet has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Challans found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (12 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Challans stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Challans VS Cholet
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Challans

(Home)
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
05 Jan
Challans
0 : 4
Rodez
10 Dec
Paimpol
1 : 2
Challans
18 Nov
Plabennec
1 : 2
Challans
04 Jan
Angouleme CFC
3 : 1
Challans
Page 1 of 3

Cholet

(Away)
18 May
Chateauroux
1 : 2
Cholet
10 May
Cholet
0 : 2
Avranches
03 May
Le Mans
3 : 3
Cholet
26 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Rouen
19 Apr
Martigues
2 : 2
Cholet
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montagnarde 2
Guipavas 1
AC Plouzane 1
Granville 2
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
APM Metz 1
Roye 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 3
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Haguenau 1
Besancon FC 4
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Le Geldar 1
Selongey 3
Frontignan AC 1
Pezenas 0
ES Parisienne 0
Borgo 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 7
Magenta 1
Golden Lion 0
Tarbes 1
Stade Briochin 3
Stade Pontivyen 1
Stade Poitevin 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Andrezieux 4
Football Club de Chaumont 1
Sezanne 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Clermont 6
Ytrac 0
Saint Priest 1
FC Rhone Vallees 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thiers 0
Le Cendre 1
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 0
Miserieux Trevoux 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Saint-Nicolas 0
Dahlenheim 2
Kaysersberg 3
Maubeuge 3
Steenvoorde 2
Homecourt CS 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Longueau 3
Claye Souilly 2
Saint-Omer 2
IC Croix 3
Troyes 2
Sarrebourg 0
Rousset Ste Victoire 0
Saint-Marcellin 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Sernin du Bois 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Erneenne 2
Alencon 5
Bonchamp 1
Chauny 0
JA Drancy 4
Istres 3
Nimes 2
Mtsapere 2
Rodez 3
Hyeres 2
Vaulx 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Les Herbiers 2
Orleans 1
Niort St Florent 0
Limoges 6
Ales 2
De Volvic 1
Bords de Saone 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
Le Havre 3
Grand Quevilly 0
Vitre 1
St. Colomban Locmine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Senart-Moissy 1
Les Sables 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 3
Bischheim Soleil 2
Etaples 0
Valenciennes 2
Villeneuve Metropole 2
Boulogne 0
St Maximin 0
Reims 3
Blagnac 2
Beziers 1
Pavillais 0
Red Star 3
Genets 2
Liguaire Niort 0
Stade Montois 1
Niort 2
Strasbourg 2
Oberlauterbach 0
FC Kronenbourg Strasbourg 0
Sarre Union 4
Sedan 2
Compiegne 1
Erstein 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
SU Dives 0
Phare du Canal 0
Belfort 4
Saumur Olympique 3
Tours 2
Le Mee sur Seine 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 4
Fleury-Merogis 3
Moulien 0
Macon 1
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Pontivy 4
TA Rennes 2
ASPTT Brest 0
Brest 3
Laval 2
Concarneau 1
Challans 0
Cholet 1
Vannes 1
Ploufragan 0
AS Dragon 0
Avranches 9
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
US Matoury 0
Avoine 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Romorantin 2
Vertou 0
La Guerche Drouges 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 3
Olympique Marcquois 0
Saint-Amand 1
Wasquehal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Palavas 0
Champigny FC 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 4
Balma 3
Luc Primaube 0
Pantaleon 0
Bergerac 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Amiens SC 0
Beauvais 0
Le Mans 2
Jarville 2
Ornain 0
Franciscain 0
Luneville 1
AC Ajaccio 4
AS Aixe sur Vienne 1
Avion 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
1/64-finals
Angers -
TBD -
Montagnarde 0
Granville 3
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Roye 0
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Besancon FC 1
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Selongey 0
Frontignan AC 0
Borgo 2
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 1
Tarbes 0
Stade Briochin 0
Chateauroux 1
Dijon -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Clermont 5
FC Rhone Vallees 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 4
Le Cendre 0
Pontarlier 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 9
Kaysersberg 0
Maubeuge 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
Longueau 0
IC Croix 7
Troyes 2
Saint-Marcellin 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
Erneenne 0
Alencon 1
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Rodez 0
Hyeres 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Les Herbiers 1
Limoges 0
Ales 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Le Havre 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 3
Les Sables 2
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 2
Valenciennes 1
Villeneuve Metropole 0
Reims 7
Blagnac 1
Red Star 0
Genets 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 1
Sarre Union 0
Sedan 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Belfort 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Fleury-Merogis 3
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontivy 0
Brest 3
Laval 1
Cholet 0
Vannes 1
Avranches 2
Lille -
TBD -
Mulhouse 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
La Guerche Drouges 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 2
Wasquehal 0
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 0
Balma 0
Bergerac 3
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Le Mans 0
Jarville 1
Luneville 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Le Portel 0
TBD -
Monaco -
1/32-finals
Angers 2
Granville 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Caen 3
Nancy 3
Besancon FC 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Borgo 1
Lorient 2
Nice 1
Pau 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Clermont 0
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Prix les Mezieres 2
St Etienne 4
IC Croix 1
Troyes 2
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Les Herbiers 4
GFC Ajaccio 3
Le Havre 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 7
Bastia 0
Biarritz JA 0
Rennes 6
Sarreguemines 2
Reims 1
Blagnac 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 4
Epinal 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Brest 0
Laval 1
Avranches 3
Lille 4
Excelsior 1
Blois Foot 41 1
Nantes 2
Lens 2
Metz 0
Rodeo 2
Bergerac 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 1
Montpellier 0
Lyon 5
Chambly 2
Luneville 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Monaco 2
1/16-finals
Angers 3
Caen 1
Nancy 0
Borgo 2
Lorient 3
Chateauroux 2
Dijon 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
St Etienne 0
Auxerre 3
Quevilly 3
Athletico Marseille 0
Les Herbiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
Rennes 0
Sarreguemines 0
Niort 3
Strasbourg 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Avranches 1
Lille 1
Nantes 0
Lens 0
Bergerac 2
Marseille 2
Lyon 1
Chambly 4
Monaco 5
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Borgo 0
Lorient 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Auxerre 0
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Niort 0
Strasbourg 1
Avranches 2
Lille 2
Bergerac 1
Marseille 3
Monaco 4
Quarter-finals
Angers 2
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Guingamp 1
PSG 4
Avranches 0
Lille 1
Monaco 2
Semi-finals
Angers 2
Guingamp 0
PSG 5
Monaco 0
Final
Angers 0
PSG 1