Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Challans vs Rodez

France France

Coupe de France 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Corredor K.
13' Event
Corredor K.
Assist: Hountondji A.
28'
Abdallah A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Rodez advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Challans
15%
Draws
46%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodez come out ahead of Challans on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Rodez taking it.
  • Rodez arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rodez, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Challans Clean Sheet 18%
Rodez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Challans Rodez
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 0 8
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2024 Coupe de France
Challans vs Rodez
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Challans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Corredor K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hountondji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Challans 23 / 100
Rodez 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Challans Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Challans scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Solid form: Challans remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rodez
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Challans

(Home)
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
05 Jan
Challans
0 : 4
Rodez
10 Dec
Paimpol
1 : 2
Challans
18 Nov
Plabennec
1 : 2
Challans
04 Jan
Angouleme CFC
3 : 1
Challans
Page 1 of 3

Rodez

(Away)
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
08 Aug
Rodez
3 : 1
Laval
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montlouis 0
Bergerac 4
Morlaas Est-Bearn 0
Panazol 1
Jeunesse Villenavaise 1
JA Isle 0
Aizenay 1
Libourne 2
Sarre Union 1
APM Metz 0
Colmar 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 1
ASPTT Dijon 0
Camon 2
Chambly 5
Villers Houlgate 4
Equeurd Hainnev 0
Laon US 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samaritaine 0
Golden Lion 1
Le Quesnoy 1
Troyenne 4
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
US Noeux Les Mines 2
Avoine 3
Le Geldar 3
Agouado 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 4
Concarneau 3
Les Herbiers 2
Avranches 1
Douvres 2
Choisy Au Bac 1
Chateauroux 2
Red Star 1
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RC Calais 2
Longueau 1
Loon Plage 0
Caen 3
Macon 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Cosne US 1
Chantilly 0
Pontivy 2
Plougastel 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Rouen 2
Chambery 1
De Volvic 0
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 2
Flers 1
Plabennec 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 1
Aunis Avenir 0
Liffre 0
Rodez 3
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Neuville 0
Feurs 2
Espaly 1
Roche Saint-Genest 1
Saint Priest 2
Limonest 0
Domerat 1
Stade Poitevin 0
US Castanet 3
Auch 0
Romorantin 4
Moulien 3
Baie Mahault 1
Torcy 0
Fleury-Merogis 1
Jarville 2
Sarreguemines 4
Villerupt Thil 0
Biesheim 2
Mulhouse 2
Jura Dolois 1
Haguenau 0
Valenciennes 2
Velay 1
Martigues 3
Ales 6
Rosador 1
Villejuif 2
Paris FC 3
Tamponnaise 2
Saint-Denis 3
Toulouse Metropole 1
AC Ajaccio 4
Lavernose Lherm 0
Orleans 4
Bourg Peronnas 0
St Etienne 3
Roannais 1
Nimes 3
Guerande St. Aubin 0
US Revel 3
Blagnac 1
Bayonne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Valincu 2
Cannes 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Bassin d'Arcachon 2
Saumur Olympique 1
Etoile Maritime 2
Trelissac 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 2
Brissac 1
Houilles 0
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 3
IC Croix 2
FC Bondues 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Montdidier 0
Quevilly 4
Doullens 0
Dijon 6
Schweighouse 2
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Amiens SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
St. Michel 0
Sannois 2
Noisy Le Sec 0
Furiani Agliani 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Canet Roussillon 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Pirae 0
USLPV 0
Auxerre 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 3
Aubagne FC 2
Chaponnay-Marennes 1
Hyeres 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
FC Seyssins 0
Saint-Omer 2
Saint Denis U.S. 1
Epinal 2
Troyes 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
Boulogne 1
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Dunkerque 1
Coulaines 2
Cholet 1
Chauray 0
Pau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
SU Dives 2
Dieppe 3
Ergue-Gaberic 3
St. Renan 1
Saint-Philbert 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Provin 0
Laval 5
Forbach 0
Geispolsheim 1
Sochaux 2
Jura Sud 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 3
TA Rennes 1
Chateaugiron 0
Vitre 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 2
Fougeres 1
Saint-Malo 2
Guingamp 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Hienghene Sport 0
Thionville 4
Fosseenne 1
Annecy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Bergerac 4
Panazol 2
Jeunesse Villenavaise 2
Libourne 4
Sarre Union 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 0
Chambly 3
Villers Houlgate 1
Racing Club de France 3
Lille -
TBD -
Golden Lion 3
Troyenne 2
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Avoine 4
Le Geldar 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 1
Les Herbiers 2
Douvres 1
Chateauroux 5
Le Havre -
TBD -
RC Calais 1
Caen 4
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Cosne US 2
Pontivy 0
Rouen 1
Chambery 2
Grenoble 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 0
Rodez 9
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 3
Domerat 0
US Castanet 0
Romorantin 3
Moulien 2
Fleury-Merogis 1
Sarreguemines 3
Biesheim 0
Mulhouse 1
Valenciennes 2
Martigues 1
Ales 2
Paris FC 3
Saint-Denis 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Orleans 2
St Etienne 0
Nimes 1
US Revel 2
Blagnac 1
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Cannes 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Trelissac 2
Brest -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 1
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Quevilly 3
Dijon 1
Thaon 0
Amiens SC 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Sannois 1
Furiani Agliani 0
Angouleme CFC 0
Bordeaux 1
Nice -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Auxerre 4
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Thonon-Evian 1
Chaponnay-Marennes 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Saint-Omer 2
Epinal 1
Reims Ste Anne -
Dunkerque -
Coulaines 1
Pau 5
TBD -
Nantes -
Dieppe 2
Ergue-Gaberic 0
Saint-Philbert 1
Laval 2
Geispolsheim 0
Sochaux 4
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 2
Vitre 0
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 0
Guingamp 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Thionville 2
Annecy 1
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Bergerac 2
Libourne 1
Pontarlier 0
Lyon 3
Chambly 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille 12
Golden Lion 0
Metz 1
Clermont 2
Avoine 0
Strasbourg 4
Les Herbiers 2
Chateauroux 3
Le Havre 2
Caen 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Rouen 2
Chambery 0
Toulouse 3
Challans 0
Rodez 4
Lens 2
Monaco 3
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 5
Romorantin 4
Moulien 0
Sarreguemines 0
Valenciennes 2
Ales 1
Paris FC 2
Orleans 2
Nimes 1
US Revel 0
PSG 9
AS-Fabregues 1
Trelissac 4
Brest 1
Angers 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Quevilly 0
Amiens SC 1
Montpellier 2
Sannois 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice 1
Auxerre 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Saint-Omer 2
Dunkerque 3
Pau 1
Nantes 4
Dieppe 0
Laval 4
Sochaux 2
Lorient 1
Dinan 0
Reims 3
Guingamp 0
Rennes 2
Thionville 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Bergerac 1
Lyon 2
Racing Club de France 0
Lille 1
Clermont 1
Strasbourg 3
Chateauroux 0
Le Havre 1
Rouen 4
Toulouse 3
Rodez 1
Monaco 3
Saint Priest 4
Romorantin 1
Valenciennes 2
Paris FC 1
Orleans 1
PSG 4
Trelissac 1
Brest 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Montpellier 4
Bordeaux 2
Nice 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Dunkerque 1
Nantes 0
Laval 1
Sochaux 3
Reims 2
Rennes 2
Marseille 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Lille 1
Strasbourg 3
Le Havre 1
Rouen 2
Monaco 1
Saint Priest 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Brest 1
Montpellier 1
Nice 4
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Laval 1
Sochaux 1
Rennes 6
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Strasbourg 0
Rouen 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Nice 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 3
Valenciennes 0
PSG 1
Rennes 0
Final
Lyon 1
PSG 2