Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cham vs Bellinzona

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cham host Bellinzona in the Promotion League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cham have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Bellinzona's 1.32 scored and 2.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Cham have won 1 to Bellinzona's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2022, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Cham. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cham
15%
Draws
12%
Bellinzona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cham have won more games recently than Bellinzona.
  • Model gives Cham a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cham Clean Sheet 17%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Bellinzona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.57 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 Promotion League
Cham vs Bellinzona
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Cham
2:1
Nov 29, 2020 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Cham
0:0
Sep 2, 2020 Promotion League
Cham vs Bellinzona
2:1
May 9, 2020 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Cham
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 66 / 100
Bellinzona 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Bellinzona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bellinzona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cham scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Bellinzona's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Bellinzona
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
16 Aug
Cham
2 : 0
Kriens
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
01 Aug
Cham
2 : 1
Breitenrain
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
01 Jul
Cham
2 : 3
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6

Bellinzona

(Away)
14 Aug
Rotkreuz
4 : 1
Bellinzona
09 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Bellinzona
01 Aug
Bellinzona
0 : 2
Bavois
15 May
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 2
Bellinzona
11 May
Bellinzona
2 : 4
Wil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grand-Saconnex 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Bruhl SG 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Schaffhausen 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Biel 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Bulle 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
6 Bavois 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Breitenrain 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Young Boys II 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
9 FC Kreuzlingen 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
10 Cham 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Amical Saint-Prex 2 1 0 1 1:6 3
12 Luzern II 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
13 Paradiso 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
14 Lugano II 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
15 Zurich II 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Basel II 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
17 Bellinzona 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Young Fellows Juventus 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)