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Cham vs Bellinzona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Vogele L.
35' Event
Aymon Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cham
15%
Draws
26%
Bellinzona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cham have won more games recently than Bellinzona.
  • Model gives Cham a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cham Clean Sheet 20%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Bellinzona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.72 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Promotion League
Cham vs Bellinzona
1:1
Apr 6, 2022 Promotion League
Cham vs Bellinzona
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Cham
2:1
Nov 29, 2020 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Cham
0:0
Sep 2, 2020 Promotion League
Cham vs Bellinzona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Vogele L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bellinzona Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymon Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 85 / 100
Bellinzona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Bellinzona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bellinzona has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Bellinzona
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
03 Oct
Cham
2 : 4
Bulle
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Cham
2 : 1
Bruhl SG
12 Sept
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 0
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 0
Zurich II
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Bellinzona

(Away)
04 Oct
Bellinzona
0 : 4
Zurich II
27 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 2
Breitenrain
19 Sept
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 0
Bellinzona
13 Sept
Bellinzona
2 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
05 Sept
Paradiso
4 : 0
Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)